Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000161 0.000179 0.000197 0.000219 0.000243 0.000269 0.000300
2025-05-11 0.000129 0.000154 0.000183 0.000220 0.000264 0.000318 0.000388
2025-05-18 0.000109 0.000137 0.000171 0.000218 0.000279 0.000358 0.000467
2025-05-25 0.000094 0.000124 0.000162 0.000216 0.000291 0.000393 0.000545
2025-06-01 0.000083 0.000113 0.000154 0.000213 0.000300 0.000424 0.000618
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000102 0.000143 0.000206 0.000300 0.000442 0.000675
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000098 0.000140 0.000208 0.000315 0.000482 0.000770
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000094 0.000139 0.000212 0.000333 0.000528 0.000881
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000088 0.000132 0.000208 0.000335 0.000550 0.000953
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000080 0.000124 0.000199 0.000329 0.000555 0.000997
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000077 0.000121 0.000200 0.000340 0.000591 0.001101
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000075 0.000120 0.000203 0.000355 0.000636 0.001229
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000071 0.000116 0.000201 0.000362 0.000669 0.001345
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000068 0.000115 0.000203 0.000376 0.000718 0.001504
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000065 0.000111 0.000201 0.000383 0.000756 0.001643
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000062 0.000108 0.000200 0.000390 0.000793 0.001789
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000059 0.000104 0.000197 0.000394 0.000824 0.001928
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000055 0.000099 0.000190 0.000389 0.000834 0.002015
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000053 0.000098 0.000193 0.000404 0.000891 0.002237
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000052 0.000098 0.000197 0.000423 0.000961 0.002507
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000050 0.000094 0.000192 0.000422 0.000984 0.002651
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000046 0.000089 0.000184 0.000411 0.000978 0.002709
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000088 0.000185 0.000422 0.001030 0.002956